Illinois House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Vince Kolber an 87% chance of winning the Illinois House 2014 primary. Nancy Wade won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Vince Kolber — 87% model odds
  2. Fredrick K. White — 10% model odds
  3. Nancy Wade — 4% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts