Idaho House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Raul R. Labrador an 80% chance of winning the Idaho House 2014 primary. Raul R. Labrador won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Raul R. Labrador — 80% model odds (won)
2. Lisa Marie — 5% model odds
3. Michael Greenway — 5% model odds
4. Reed C. Mccandless — 5% model odds
5. Sean Blackwell — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts