Iowa House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave David Young a 75% chance of winning the Iowa House 2014 primary. Brad Zaun won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. David Young — 75% model odds
2. Robert Cramer — 5% model odds
3. Matt Schultz — 5% model odds
4. Joe Grandanette — 5% model odds
5. Scattered — 5% model odds
6. Monte Shaw — 3% model odds
7. Brad Zaun — 3% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts