Iowa House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Staci Appel an 86% chance of winning the Iowa House 2014 primary. Staci Appel won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Staci Appel — 86% model odds (won)
  2. Scattered — 14% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts