Iowa House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mariannette Miller-Meeks an 87% chance of winning the Iowa House 2014 primary. Mariannette Miller-Meeks won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Mariannette Miller-Meeks — 87% model odds (won)
2. Scattered — 6% model odds
3. Mark S. Lofgren — 4% model odds
4. Matthew C. Waldren — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts