Iowa House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Rod Blum an 85% chance of winning the Iowa House 2014 primary. Rod Blum won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Rod Blum — 85% model odds (won)
  2. Steve Rathje — 6% model odds
  3. Scattered — 6% model odds
  4. Gail E. Boliver — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts