Hawaii Senate 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Cam Cavasso an 82% chance of winning the Hawaii Senate 2014 primary. Cam Cavasso won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Cam Cavasso — 82% model odds (won)
2. John P. Roco — 6% model odds
3. Harry J., Jr. Friel — 6% model odds
4. Eddie Pirkowski — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts