Hawaii House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kawika Crowley a 50% chance of winning the Hawaii House 2014 primary. Kawika Crowley won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Kawika Crowley — 50% model odds (won)
2. Marissa D. Capelouto — 50% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts