Florida House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Carlos Curbelo an 88% chance of winning the Florida House 2014 primary. Carlos Curbelo won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Carlos Curbelo — 88% model odds (won)
2. Ed Macdougall — 3% model odds
3. Joe A. Martinez — 3% model odds
4. Lorenzo Palomares Starbuck — 3% model odds
5. David Rivera — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts