Florida House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Paul Spain an 86% chance of winning the Florida House 2014 primary. Paul Spain won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Paul Spain — 86% model odds (won)
2. David Wagie — 9% model odds
3. Andrea Leigh Mcgee — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts