Florida House 2014 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Shayan Modarres a 69% chance of winning the Florida House 2014 primary. Michael Mckenna won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Shayan Modarres — 69% model odds
- William Ferree — 16% model odds
- Michael Mckenna — 15% model odds (won)