Delaware Senate 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Carl Smink a 51% chance of winning the Delaware Senate 2014 primary. Kevin Wade won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Carl Smink — 51% model odds
2. Kevin Wade — 38% model odds (won)
3. Andrew Groff — 10% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts