Colorado House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Scott W. Renfroe a 78% chance of winning the Colorado House 2014 primary. Ken Buck won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Scott W. Renfroe — 78% model odds
  2. Ken Buck — 7% model odds (won)
  3. Steve Laffey — 7% model odds
  4. Barbara J. Kirkmeyer — 7% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts