California House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Larry A. Wilske a 56% chance of winning the California House 2014 primary. Larry A. Wilske won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Larry A. Wilske — 56% model odds (won)
2. Wayne S. True — 18% model odds (won)
3. Joel Marchese — 10% model odds
4. John R. Edwards — 9% model odds
5. Jim Stieringer — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts