California House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Dave Peiser a 51% chance of winning the California House 2014 primary. Dave Peiser won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Dave Peiser — 51% model odds (won)
2. Noboru Isagawa — 25% model odds (won)
3. Johnny Moore — 25% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts