California House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Adam Nick a 35% chance of winning the California House 2014 primary. Adam Nick won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Adam Nick — 35% model odds (won)
  2. Carlos Vazquez — 34% model odds
  3. John J. Cullum — 31% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts