Wisconsin Senate 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mandela Barnes an 88% chance of winning the Wisconsin Senate 2022 primary. Ron Johnson won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Mandela Barnes — 88% model odds
- Ron Johnson — 12% model odds (won)
- Scattered — 0% model odds
- Adam Paul — 0% model odds