Wisconsin House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Scott Fitzgerald an 88% chance of winning the Wisconsin House 2022 primary. Scott Fitzgerald won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Scott Fitzgerald — 88% model odds (won)
  2. Mike Van Someren — 12% model odds
  3. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts