Wisconsin House 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Brad Pfaff a 63% chance of winning the Wisconsin House 2022 primary. Derrick Van Orden won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Brad Pfaff — 63% model odds
- Derrick Van Orden — 37% model odds (won)
- Scattered — 0% model odds