Wisconsin House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mark Pocan a 95% chance of winning the Wisconsin House 2022 primary. Mark Pocan won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mark Pocan — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Erik Olsen — 5% model odds
  3. Douglas Alexander — 0% model odds
  4. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts