Vermont Senate 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Gerald Malloy a 48% chance of winning the Vermont Senate 2022 primary. Peter Welch won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Gerald Malloy — 48% model odds
- Natasha Diamondstone-Kohout — 48% model odds
- Peter Welch — 4% model odds (won)
- Dawn Marie Ellis — 0% model odds
- Kerry Patrick Raheb — 0% model odds
- Mark Coester — 0% model odds
- Stephen Duke — 0% model odds
- Ms. Cris Ericson — 0% model odds