Vermont House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Becca Balint a 95% chance of winning the Vermont House 2022 primary. Becca Balint won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Becca Balint — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Liam Madden — 5% model odds
  3. Ericka Redic — 0% model odds
  4. Matt Druzba — 0% model odds
  5. Luke Talbot — 0% model odds
  6. Adam Ortiz — 0% model odds
  7. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts