California House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Tim Sheridan a 45% chance of winning the California House 2014 primary. Tim Sheridan won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Tim Sheridan — 45% model odds (won)
  2. Kerri Condley — 35% model odds
  3. Chris Marquez — 20% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts