Virginia House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jennifer T. Wexton an 89% chance of winning the Virginia House 2022 primary. Jennifer T. Wexton won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jennifer T. Wexton — 89% model odds (won)
  2. Hung Cao — 11% model odds
  3. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts