Virginia House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave H. Morgan Griffith a 95% chance of winning the Virginia House 2022 primary. H. Morgan Griffith won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. H. Morgan Griffith — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Taysha Lee Devaughan — 5% model odds
  3. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts