Virginia House 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Abigail A. Spanberger a 67% chance of winning the Virginia House 2022 primary. Abigail A. Spanberger won, matching the model's top pick.
- Abigail A. Spanberger — 67% model odds (won)
- Yesli I. Vega — 33% model odds
- Scattered — 0% model odds