Virginia House 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Elaine G. Luria a 57% chance of winning the Virginia House 2022 primary. Jen A. Kiggans won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Elaine G. Luria — 57% model odds
- Jen A. Kiggans — 43% model odds (won)
- Scattered — 0% model odds