Virginia House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Rob J. Wittman an 82% chance of winning the Virginia House 2022 primary. Rob J. Wittman won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Rob J. Wittman — 82% model odds (won)
  2. Herbert C. "Herb," Jr. Jones — 18% model odds
  3. David Bruce Foster — 0% model odds
  4. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts