Utah Senate 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mike Lee a 100% chance of winning the Utah Senate 2022 primary. Mike Lee won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mike Lee — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Evan Mcmullin — 0% model odds
  3. James Arthur Hansen — 0% model odds
  4. Tommy Williams — 0% model odds
  5. Laird Fetzer Hamblin — 0% model odds
  6. Michael Seguin — 0% model odds
  7. Abraham Korb — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts