Utah House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Chris Stewart an 88% chance of winning the Utah House 2022 primary. Chris Stewart won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Chris Stewart — 88% model odds (won)
  2. Nick Mitchell — 12% model odds
  3. Jaymac Mcfarland — 0% model odds
  4. Cassie Easley — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts