Texas House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jasmine Crockett a 100% chance of winning the Texas House 2022 primary. Jasmine Crockett won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jasmine Crockett — 100% model odds (won)
  2. James Rodgers — 0% model odds
  3. Zachariah Manning — 0% model odds
  4. Phil Gray — 0% model odds
  5. Debbie Walker — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts