Texas House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Michael C. Burgess a 100% chance of winning the Texas House 2022 primary. Michael C. Burgess won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Michael C. Burgess — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Mike Kolls — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts