Texas House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Beth Van Duyne a 63% chance of winning the Texas House 2022 primary. Beth Van Duyne won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Beth Van Duyne — 63% model odds (won)
  2. Jan Mcdowell — 37% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts