California House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lucille Roybal-Allard a 50% chance of winning the California House 2014 primary. Lucille Roybal-Allard won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Lucille Roybal-Allard — 50% model odds (won)
2. David Sanchez — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts