Texas House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Tony Gonzalez a 50% chance of winning the Texas House 2022 primary. Tony Gonzalez won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Tony Gonzalez — 50% model odds (won)
2. John Lira — 50% model odds
3. Frank Lopez — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts