Texas House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Troy E. Nehls a 79% chance of winning the Texas House 2022 primary. Troy E. Nehls won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Troy E. Nehls — 79% model odds (won)
  2. Jamie Kaye Jordan — 21% model odds
  3. Joseph Leblanc — 0% model odds
  4. Jim Squires — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts