Texas House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Sheila Jackson Lee a 100% chance of winning the Texas House 2022 primary. Sheila Jackson Lee won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Sheila Jackson Lee — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Carmen Maria Montiel — 0% model odds
  3. Vince Duncan — 0% model odds
  4. Phil Kurtz — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts