Texas House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Veronica Escobar a 69% chance of winning the Texas House 2022 primary. Veronica Escobar won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Veronica Escobar — 69% model odds (won)
  2. Irene Armendariz Jackson — 31% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts