Texas House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Michael Mccaul an 87% chance of winning the Texas House 2022 primary. Michael Mccaul won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Michael Mccaul — 87% model odds (won)
  2. Linda Nuno — 13% model odds
  3. Bill Kelsey — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts