Texas House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Pat Fallon a 94% chance of winning the Texas House 2022 primary. Pat Fallon won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Pat Fallon — 94% model odds (won)
  2. Iro Omere — 6% model odds
  3. John Simmons — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts