Tennessee House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Heidi Campbell an 89% chance of winning the Tennessee House 2022 primary. Andy Ogles won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Heidi Campbell — 89% model odds
  2. Andy Ogles — 11% model odds (won)
  3. Derrick Brantley — 0% model odds
  4. Daniel Cooper — 0% model odds
  5. Rick Shannon — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts