Tennessee House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Scott Desjarlais an 89% chance of winning the Tennessee House 2022 primary. Scott Desjarlais won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Scott Desjarlais — 89% model odds (won)
  2. Wayne Steele — 11% model odds
  3. Mike Winton — 0% model odds
  4. Clyde Benson — 0% model odds
  5. David Leighton Jones — 0% model odds
  6. Tharon Chandler — 0% model odds
  7. Joseph "Krishnadas" Magyer — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts