Tennessee House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Chuck Fleischmann a 95% chance of winning the Tennessee House 2022 primary. Chuck Fleischmann won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Chuck Fleischmann — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Meg Gorman — 5% model odds
  3. Rick Tyler — 0% model odds
  4. Thomas M. Rumba — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts