Tennessee House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Diana Lynn Harshbarger a 95% chance of winning the Tennessee House 2022 primary. Diana Lynn Harshbarger won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Diana Lynn Harshbarger — 95% model odds (won)
2. Cameron Parsons — 5% model odds
3. Richard G. Baker — 0% model odds
4. Matt Makrom — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts