South Dakota House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Dusty Johnson a 100% chance of winning the South Dakota House 2022 primary. Dusty Johnson won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Dusty Johnson — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Collin Duprel — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts