South Carolina Senate 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Tim Scott a 79% chance of winning the South Carolina Senate 2022 primary. Tim Scott won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Tim Scott — 79% model odds (won)
  2. Krystle Matthews — 21% model odds
  3. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts