South Carolina House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Joe Wilson an 81% chance of winning the South Carolina House 2022 primary. Joe Wilson won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Joe Wilson — 81% model odds (won)
  2. Judd Larkins — 19% model odds
  3. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts