Pennsylvania House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Glenn Gt Thompson an 88% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2022 primary. Glenn Gt Thompson won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Glenn Gt Thompson — 88% model odds (won)
  2. Mike Molesevich — 12% model odds
  3. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts