Pennsylvania House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lloyd K. Smucker a 100% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2022 primary. Lloyd K. Smucker won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Lloyd K. Smucker — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Bob Hollister — 0% model odds
  3. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts