Pennsylvania House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Scott Perry a 73% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2022 primary. Scott Perry won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Scott Perry — 73% model odds (won)
  2. Shamaine Daniels — 27% model odds
  3. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts